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Topbot SP 100

Equity · Stocks · Started Mar 2026

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
16.6%
Max Drawdown
15.1%
Trades
280
Win Trades
41.8%
Profit Factor
1.40
Win Months
71.4%
Subscribe $99/mo

Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20260.93.83.914.1-0.33.8-9.216.6

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/25/2026
Suggested Minimum Capital$35,000
Age6 months
C2 Rank932
Rank at C2 %Top 6.8%
Rank ##337
What it tradesStocks
# Trades280
# Profitable117
% Profitable41.8%
Avg trade duration3.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown15.1%
drawdown periodJuly 06, 2026 - July 22, 2026
Cumul. Return16.6%
Avg win$72
Avg loss$38

Ratios

W:L ratio1.38
Sharpe Ratio1.46
Sortino Ratio2.32
Calmar Ratio5.92

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.29
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life16.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)0.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)34.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)49.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity12.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.2%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss21.0%
Chance of 20% account loss3.5%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated82.5%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)851
C2 Score932
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?187692
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$38
Avg Win$72
# Winners117
Sum Trade PL (losers)$6,142
Sum Trade PL (winners)$8,435
Num Months Winners5
# Losers163
% Winners41.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct19

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table7

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)5072.67
Avg Position Time (hrs)84.54
Avg Trade Length3.50
Last Trade Ago0

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.86
Daily leverage (max)1.98

Regression

Alpha0.05
Beta0.38
Treynor Index0.22

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades5.59
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.63
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats53.90
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats43.06
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.30
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.32
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.18

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.43
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.09
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.76
df5
t1.48
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.05
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.74
Sortino ratio3.80
Upside Potential Ratio5.22
Upside part of mean0.59
Downside part of mean-0.16
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms1
N of observations6
Mean of predictor0.30
Mean of criterion0.43
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.00
r0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.19
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.38
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error4
t(b)0.25
p(b)0.41
t(a)0.95
p(a)0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.94
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.47
Treynor index (mean / b)2.24
Jensen alpha (a)0.38
Mean0.41
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.96
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.65
df5
t1.38
p0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.89
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.31
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.60
Sortino ratio3.44
Upside Potential Ratio4.85
Upside part of mean0.57
Downside part of mean-0.17
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms1
N of observations6
Mean of predictor0.28
Mean of criterion0.41
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.00
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.21
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.35
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error4
t(b)0.27
p(b)0.40
t(a)0.87
p(a)0.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.99
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.44
Treynor index (mean / b)1.90
Jensen alpha (a)0.35
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.40
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.41
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.40
df132
t1.72
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.18
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.37
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.17
Sortino ratio3.99
Upside Potential Ratio11.79
Upside part of mean1.19
Downside part of mean-0.79
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms76
N negative terms57
N of observations133
Mean of predictor0.28
Mean of criterion0.40
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.28
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.35
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.30
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error131
t(b)3.34
p(b)0.32
t(a)1.34
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.75
Treynor index (mean / b)1.16
Jensen alpha (a)0.30
Mean0.39
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.34
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.32
df132
t1.66
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.44
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.09
Sortino ratio3.82
Upside Potential Ratio11.59
Upside part of mean1.18
Downside part of mean-0.79
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms76
N negative terms57
N of observations133
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion0.39
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.28
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.35
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.29
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error131
t(b)3.36
p(b)0.32
t(a)1.29
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.74
Treynor index (mean / b)1.11
Jensen alpha (a)0.29
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.41
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.45
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.44
df130
t1.74
p0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.24
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.35
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.23
Sortino ratio4.06
Upside Potential Ratio11.88
Upside part of mean1.21
Downside part of mean-0.79
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms75
N negative terms56
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.41
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.28
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.36
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.28
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)3.35
p(b)0.32
t(a)1.22
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.74
Treynor index (mean / b)1.13
Jensen alpha (a)0.28
Mean0.40
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.38
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.36
df130
t1.68
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.16
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.42
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.15
Sortino ratio3.88
Upside Potential Ratio11.68
Upside part of mean1.20
Downside part of mean-0.80
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms75
N negative terms56
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.35
Mean of criterion0.40
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.28
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.37
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.27
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)3.37
p(b)0.32
t(a)1.17
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.73
Treynor index (mean / b)1.09
Jensen alpha (a)0.27
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum0.92
Quartile 11.04
Median1.06
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.05
Mean of quarter 31.07
Mean of quarter 41.08
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.17
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations133
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.31
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.07
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.03
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.14
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.08
Quartile 10.08
Median0.08
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.08
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations13
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.06
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.23
Mean of outliers high0.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-7.44
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.70
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.10
Number of observations13
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.06
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.23
Mean of outliers high0.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-7.44
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.70
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.10
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-462378752
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)16
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.48
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.54
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)6.96
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal6.35
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.46
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.52
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)5.93
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs8.28
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal26.46
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.47
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.53
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)6.09
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs8.51
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal27.05

Trading record

Placed 53 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
TSLA long6Sep 22, 2026Sep 28, 2026($101)
PLD long18Sep 23, 2026Sep 25, 2026($38)
AMAT long5Sep 23, 2026Sep 24, 2026$3
BLK long2Sep 22, 2026Sep 23, 2026($6)
GOOGL long7Sep 16, 2026Sep 23, 2026($30)
MA long4Sep 18, 2026Sep 22, 2026($48)
SCHW long84Sep 4, 2026Sep 22, 2026($365)
CSCO long23Sep 21, 2026Sep 22, 2026($99)
PM long6Sep 15, 2026Sep 21, 2026($38)
VRTX long4Sep 17, 2026Sep 18, 2026($31)
WMT long1Sep 15, 2026Sep 17, 2026($2)
TGT long9Sep 4, 2026Sep 16, 2026($50)
CVS long26Sep 14, 2026Sep 15, 2026($39)
JPM long4Sep 4, 2026Sep 14, 2026($20)
MMM long9Sep 4, 2026Sep 10, 2026($51)
CMCSA long258Sep 4, 2026Sep 10, 2026($128)
T long101Sep 2, 2026Sep 2, 2026($34)
TMUS long14Sep 2, 2026Sep 2, 2026($12)
MU long2Aug 26, 2026Sep 2, 2026$35
MO long42Aug 21, 2026Sep 2, 2026$152
QCOM long15Aug 31, 2026Sep 2, 2026$35
TXN long10Aug 31, 2026Sep 2, 2026($28)
ADBE long9Sep 1, 2026Sep 2, 2026($75)
SPGI long6Aug 31, 2026Sep 1, 2026($48)
UNP long9Aug 20, 2026Aug 31, 2026($38)
TMO long4Aug 24, 2026Aug 31, 2026($38)
PM long14Aug 20, 2026Aug 31, 2026($69)
TSLA long7Aug 21, 2026Aug 26, 2026($136)
TGT long17Aug 20, 2026Aug 24, 2026$189
UBER long35Aug 20, 2026Aug 21, 2026$5

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.